Will I be signed up for cryonics by the end of the year?
Basic
20
Ṁ2798
resolved Jan 1
Resolved
NO
I am logging my progress towards signing up to cryonics in this Twitter thread: In favour: I've started the process of getting term life insurance, I think signing up for cryonics is a good idea. Against: Many people cryocrastinate, I'm lower-conscientiousness than average. Jan 22, 8:38pm: In THIS Twitter thread: https://twitter.com/TetraspaceWest/status/1483816710054596611?s=20 Also I will refrain from insider trading. Mar 25, 10:59pm: Cleared my Twitter archive, though I have a log in THIS schelling thread https://schelling.pt/web/statuses/107634491738222954
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Ṁ1,000
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(NO is now definitely free money, since it's if I do something by a deadline in the past; the reason I sold is because whoops I forgot I said I wasn't going to be holding a position in this market)

predictedNO

Looks like I'm still going to be mortal going into the new year.

I am hopeful, but fearing that I've hit a 20/80 effort with the last bureacracy. Started making progress on that, because I do genuinely want to avoid avoidable True Death and all, but e.g. law of continued failure on this:

predictedYES

I don't actually know how one encourages in such circumstances but please construe this reply as that.

predictedYES

How goes it?

@aps Have life insurance, CI membership, and Cryonics UK membership; have not yet signed the forms to wire the life insurance up to the Cryonics Institute

I had a reminder to check back on this market; from your archive it looks like you're making good progress! Congratulations; glad to buy Yes.
trade*
Ah, now I can comment without having to make then immediately unmake a comment. Anyway I have whole of life cover now.
Selling my NO to avoid insider trading.
Status update: I am now a lifetime member of the Cryonics Institute. No preservation contract has been arranged yet.
According to this 2012 thread from Scott https://web.archive.org/web/20140706140715/http://squid314.livejournal.com/349656.html , ~16% of veteran LessWrongers had signed up, going up to ~50% of people who had actually done so. For your sake, this is a bet I hope to lose!
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