Will California SB 1047 pass? | What will the highest Chatbot Arena elo of an open source model be at the start of 2026?

14

2.1kṀ39k

resolved Jan 1

100%96%

No | 1400 - 1500

0.1%

Yes | 1200 - 1300

0.1%

Yes | 1300 - 1400

0.1%

Yes | 1400 - 1500

0.1%

No | 1200 - 1300

0.1%

No | 1300 - 1400

0.1%

Chatbot Arena will no longer exist

4%

No | 1500 - 1600

0.1%Other

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gemini-3-pro, text elo 1490

imo there isn't much of an association here

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If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

Related questions

If SB-1047 (or reasonably similar legislation) is run as a ballot initiative in California in 2026, will it pass?

If passed, will SB 1047 cover any Open Source model before 2029, not including those of Meta, OpenAI, Anthropic, etc?

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