Why did Sam Bankman-Fried tweet “1) What” and “2) H” on the 14th November?
21
1.2kṀ928resolved Nov 14
100%46%
He is trolling
1.5%Other
4%
A reason not mentioned here before it becomes publicly known
0.8%
@SBF_FTX has been hacked
2%
It was an incomplete scheduled thread
0.1%
He was trying to send a normal thread, hit send early, and did not amend or clarify it
0.2%
It is a coded message
1.0%
He was intoxicated
29%
It is a deliberate scheduled thread that is coming out slowly
3%
Scheduled deadman switch along the lines of "what happened to me"
1.8%
Proof of aliveness (ability to use Twitter)
6%
He is blackmailing someone
1.9%
It is an effect/result of his disorder (eg. with impulse control)
2.0%
Adderol
On the 14th November, SBF_FTX tweeted a mysterious thread, the first tweet of which was "1) What" and the second of which was "2) H".
This resolves at the reason why it happened, out of the options posted to the market before the reason becomes publicly known. If it's covered by multiple options on the market, resolves at the most specific one.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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