MANIFOLD
When will it be possible to routinely fly beyond visual line of sight drones in the US with a permit or certificate?
1
Ṁ225Ṁ202
2032
June 5, 2028
3%
Before 2027
50%
2027
9%
Jan 2028 - Jun 2028
9%
Jul 2028 - Dec 2028
9%
Jan 2029 - Jun 2029
9%
Jul 2029 - Dec 2029
9%
2030-2031
3%
Not by 2031

Currently, organisations in the US flying a drone beyond their visual line of sight need a per-flight waiver under Part 107. There are proposals in the pipeline for making BVLOS flight easier.

This resolves YES at the date where an organisation can get a permit or a certificate to fly a BVLOS drone arbitrarily many times in an area on different flight plans, rather than requiring a seperate one for each operation.

The FAA's Part 108 NPRM as currently drafted would resolve this market YES at the date when the FAA starts accepting Part 108 approvals.

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