What grade will OpenAI get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
2
Ṁ125Ṁ282027
76%
D- or above
56%
D or above
52%
D+ or above
48%
C- or above
44%
B- or above
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What grade will Z.ai get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
What grade will Anthropic get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
Will any lab get a C grade for existential safety in the FLI's Winter 2026 AI Safety Index scorecard?
44% chance
When will an OpenAI model achieve a High risk level on AI Self-improvement? [metaculus]
Will OpenAI exist in Jan 2027?
96% chance
Will OpenAI have significant financial troubles in 2026?
19% chance
Will OpenAI fold by EOY 2026?
2% chance
What number model will OpenAI be on by EOY?
38% chance
Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?
79% chance
Will OpenAI Fail by EOY 2028?
12% chance