Skip to main content
MANIFOLD
What grade will Z.ai get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
2
Ṁ125Ṁ11
2027
54%
D- or above
51%
D or above
49%
D+ or above
46%
C- or above
44%
B- or above

Market context
AI
AI Alignment
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

What grade will OpenAI get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
What grade will Anthropic get for existential safety in the FLI's AI Safety Index Winter 2026?
Will any lab get a C grade for existential safety in the FLI's Winter 2026 AI Safety Index scorecard?
44% chance
Will a Turing Award be given out for work on AI alignment or existential safety by 2040?
79% chance
In 2030, will we think FLI's 6 month pause open letter helped or harmed our AI x-risk chances?
Will "Existential AI safety needs an effective soci..." make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2026 Annual Review?
14% chance
By 2028, will I believe that contemporary AIs are aligned (posing no existential risk)?
32% chance
Will "Shallow review of technical AI safety, 2025" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
14% chance
Will LLMs still mostly preserve high ELO rankings of AI safety people at EOY 2028?
44% chance
Will "AI Control May Increase Existential Risk" make the top fifty posts in LessWrong's 2025 Annual Review?
15% chance