Resolves N/A if SB 1047 is passed.

If SB 1047 is not passed, resolves YES if there is any open source model that meets the following criteria to be a covered model under SB 1047, as guessed by me:

(A) Before January 1, 2027, “covered model” means either of the following:

(i) An artificial intelligence model trained using a quantity of computing power greater than 10^26 integer or floating-point operations, the cost of which exceeds one hundred million dollars ($100,000,000) when calculated using the average market prices of cloud compute at the start of training as reasonably assessed by the developer.

(ii) An artificial intelligence model created by fine-tuning a covered model using a quantity of computing power equal to or greater than three times 10^25 integer or floating-point operations, the cost of which, as reasonably assessed by the developer, exceeds ten million dollars ($10,000,000) if calculated using the average market price of cloud compute at the start of fine-tuning.

The goal of this market is to assess whether SB 1047 is expected to affect open source models ex ante.