If Kamala Harris is elected president in the 2024 election, what will the annualised GDP growth rate be over her term?
➕
Plus
16
Ṁ2500
resolved Nov 12
ResolvedN/A
4%
-1 - 0%
8%
0-1%
11%
1-2%
24%
2-3%
23%
3-4%
15%
4-5%
6%
5-6%
5%
6-7%
5%Other

Richard Hanania has wrote a blog post claiming that he hates modern conservativism but wants Trump to win on the grounds of economic growth. Jeremiah Johnson is skeptical:

This sounds like uncertainty over a future observable!

If Kamala Harris is elected president in the 2024 election, this will resolve by the annualised real GDP growth rate for the United States in the years 2025-2028, as given by the World Bank. Otherwise, this will resolve N/A.

Corresponding question for Trump:

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That "Other" is ominous...

Real or nominal?

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