If Democrats forgive $10,000 in federal student debt per person by the 2022 midterms will they win the House?
15%
chance
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/7154/us-forgive-10k-student-debt-before-2024/ 30% chance this happens by 2024 per Metaculus. The condition for this question is the same as for that question but with a shorter timeframe https://www.cnbc.com/amp/2022/04/27/administration-signals-student-loan-forgiveness-decision-may-come-soon.html Biden is talking about student loan forgiveness here