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MANIFOLD
If AI has an okay outcome because of a pause, will the exit strategy involve a new AI paradigm?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ82
2038
76%
chance

This resolves N/A if ASI does not have an OK outcome or if a pause is not part of the reason, and otherwise YES if a new AI paradigm is part of the reason for ASI having an OK outcome, and NO if it is not.

Definition of OK outcome:

An outcome is "okay" if it gets at least 20% of the maximum attainable cosmopolitan value that could've been attained by a positive Singularity (a la full Coherent Extrapolated Volition done correctly), and existing humans don't suffer death or any other awful fates.

A new AI paradigm is any AI paradigm that is not deep learning. This can include one that is already known to science - there would still be novelty in making it ASI-capable, when currently it only appears that deep learning can do that first.

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