How many Senedd seats will be held by left or center-left parties after the 2026 Senedd election?
1
Ṁ250Ṁ433May 7
57.3 seats
expected1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
99%
Above 0
90%
Above 10
87%
Above 20
83%
Above 30
76%
Above 40
66%
Above 50
50%
Above 60
34%
Above 70
24%
Above 80
17%
Above 90
Left or center-left as listed on Wikipedia https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/List_of_political_parties_in_the_United_Kingdom
Independents will be evaluated individually
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
What will the Green Party's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
323
What party will win the 2026 Welsh elections?
Which party will win the most council seats in the May 2026 UK local elections?
What will Labour's change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
-843
In Cambridge UK, after the city council elections in May 2026, how many seats will each party have?
What will the Liberal Democrats' change in number of council seats in the 2026 United Kingdom local elections be?
88
Which party will finish second in the 2026 Scottish Parliament election?
How many Reform councillors will have left the Party by the May 2026 elections.
Which party will have the most councillors in the UK after the 7 May 2026 local elections?
Will pro-independence parties win a majority of seats at the 2026 Welsh election?
72% chance