Resolves Yes if Jimmy dies during 2024
Resolves No if Jimmy doesn't die in 2024
This market is overpriced. Remember that the monthly delta in average probabilities should reflect that Jimmy is manifolds equivalent to us govt bonds 😅
@JoeBoyle he's 100, has been in hospice for 6+ months. I believe he is currently cancer free though. I at at like 50-50 myself
There hasn’t been any meaningful news since the ‘one year in hospice’ thing and even then, I take the last actual piece of news to have been his wife’s funeral. I suspect he’s basically on (figurative) life support . It’s only a question of when his son, whose Christian faith seems strong, agrees to pull the (figurative) plug.
@NicoDelon there aren't any "plugs" in hospice. The point of hospice is providing only care that makes the dying person comfortable.
@kenmichaels It’s a metaphorical plug (comment edited). There are decisions to make and at this point I doubt they’re Jimmy’s to make.