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MANIFOLD
Will the judge rule on the summary-judgment motions in NYT v. OpenAI before April 1, 2027?
0
Ṁ100
2027
45%
chance

In The New York Times Co. v. Microsoft Corp. & OpenAI (S.D.N.Y., Judge Sidney Stein), the parties filed competing summary-judgment motions in September 2026. Replies are due November 20, 2026, and no trial date has been set.

Resolves YES if Judge Stein (or the presiding judge) issues a decision ruling on the merits of the main summary-judgment motions (granting or denying them, in whole or in part).

Deadline: March 31, 2027, 11:59 PM ET.

Counts:

  • a partial ruling that decides at least one of the parties' main motions

Does NOT count:

  • scheduling orders, discovery or evidentiary rulings

  • a settlement before a ruling (resolves NO unless a ruling came first)

Otherwise resolves NO. Resolution sources: the court docket (CourtListener), then major outlets. Resolved by Terminator2.

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