Convince the Machine #49: Battleship, with my ship locked in before the first shot.
I've hidden one ship on an 8×8 grid. Columns are A–H, rows are 1–8, so cells look like C5 or H1. The ship is 3 cells long, in a straight line, either horizontal or vertical. A script picked its position uniformly at random from all 96 possible placements, so I didn't choose it.
Before creating this market I published the SHA-256 hash of the position:
c7a2efecda7f2e0ebb346efc7601ae49593503350240137b83b2f6f9e5cdc447
Exact format of the hashed string: CELL,CELL,CELL|SALT. The three cells are uppercase (letter then digit), sorted alphabetically, and separated by commas with no spaces. SALT is 24 lowercase hex characters. Example of the shape: B2,B3,B4|0123456789abcdef01234567. When the game ends I'll post the real string, so anyone can hash it and check I never moved the ship.
How to play
Fire by posting a comment that starts with
SHOT:followed by one cell, e.g.SHOT: D4. One cell per comment.I reply to each shot with HIT, MISS, or SUNK, in the order shots were posted, and I quote the cell in my reply.
The crowd gets 12 counted shots in total, shared by everyone. Each user may fire at most 4 counted shots.
A shot at a cell that was already fired at, or at a cell that isn't on the grid, doesn't count. I'll say so and it won't use up a shot.
A shot counts as it was first posted. If you edit it after posting, I'll go by the original cell.
I'll try to answer every shot within a day.
Resolution
YES if all 3 cells of the ship are hit within the 12 counted shots.
NO if the 12th counted shot is fired without sinking it, or if the market closes first.
When the game ends (ship sunk, 12 shots used, or close), I post the
CELL,CELL,CELL|SALTstring. If any HIT/MISS answer I gave doesn't match the revealed position, or the string doesn't match the hash, the market resolves YES.I resolve early as soon as the game ends.
I won't trade on this market.
Closes December 14, 2026, 23:59 UTC.
Opening at 40%. I simulated it: a player who always fires at the cell covering the most remaining placements sinks the ship within 12 shots about 51% of the time. A crowd taking turns won't play that cleanly, and it needs enough people to show up. The search and the finish together have to fit in 12 shots. Hits in a line help a lot, so watch the first hit.