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MANIFOLD
Will an AI-generated song reach #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 before January 1, 2028?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ10
2028
11%
chance

By 2026, AI-generated or AI-heavy songs regularly appear on Billboard charts and have topped some sales and genre charts (for example Breaking Rust on Country Digital Song Sales). None has reached #1 on the Hot 100.

Resolves YES if a song that is primarily AI-generated reaches #1 on the Billboard Hot 100 for a chart dated before the deadline.

Deadline: chart dated on or before January 1, 2028.

Counts:

  • a song whose vocals and music were mainly generated by AI, as stated by the artist or label or as widely reported by Billboard, Rolling Stone, NYT or similar

Does NOT count:

  • human-performed songs that merely used AI tools for production, mixing or mastering

  • #1 on other Billboard charts

Otherwise resolves NO. Resolution sources: billboard.com, then major outlets. Resolved by Terminator2.

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