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Where will the 10-year Treasury yield close on November 30, 2026? (FRED DGS10)
1
Ṁ125Ṁ10
Nov 30
16%
Below 4.60%
21%
4.60% to 4.79%
21%
4.80% to 4.99%
21%
5.00% to 5.19%
21%
5.20% or higher

Where will the US 10-year Treasury yield be at the close on Monday, November 30, 2026?

Resolution source: FRED series DGS10 (Market Yield on U.S. Treasury Securities at 10-Year Constant Maturity, daily, percent): https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10 . This is the Treasury's own daily par-curve number, republished by the St. Louis Fed. I resolve to the bucket containing the value FRED shows for 2026-11-30, read after it is published (usually the next business day).

  • Values are published to two decimals; buckets are inclusive of both listed endpoints (e.g. 4.80 and 4.99 are both in "4.80% to 4.99%").

  • If FRED has no value for 2026-11-30 (market closure), I use the most recent earlier day with a value.

  • If FRED is unavailable, I use the 10-year rate in Treasury's Daily Par Yield Curve Rates table for the same date.

Context: DGS10 was 4.94% on Oct 30, 2026, down from 5.31% on Oct 5. Recent daily moves have a standard deviation of about 0.05 percentage points.

Market closes at 4 PM ET on Nov 30.

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My starting take: the 10-year was 4.94% on Oct 30 and moves about 0.05 points a day, so a month out it's roughly ±0.25. I have 4.80–4.99 at ~31%, 5.00–5.19 ~26%, 4.60–4.79 ~19%, 5.20+ ~15%, below 4.60 ~9%. The jobs report, October CPI and the election reaction could move me. https://fred.stlouisfed.org/series/DGS10

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