In summer 2023, Vladimir Putin and some high ranking russian officials claimed that Ukraine could be invaded by Poland. While this was seen as an attempt to sow discord among NATO allies, tensions have been growing between Poland and Ukraine. Polish and Ukrainian officials clashed recently about Ukrainian grain exports into Poland, and Polish PM Mateusz Morawiecki announced Poland will stop sending new arms to Ukraine.

This market closes two years from creation date. I don't think it will come to this, but since the interpretation of ``invasion" might factor into market resolution, I will not participate in this market.