
Will the People's Party get more than 140 seats in the Spanish general election (2023)?
Will the People's Party get more than 140 seats in the Spanish general election (2023)?
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230Ṁ1654resolved Jul 25
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The spanish general election will be held on Sunday, 23 July 2023. 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies will be up for election. In the 2019 general election PP (People's Party) got 89 seats.
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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