How many seats will Vox get in the next Spanish general election?

Question

The Spanish general election will be held at some point before September of 2027. 350 seats in the Congress of Deputies will be up for election. In the 2023 general election Vox got 33 seats.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2023_Spanish_general_election

Answers are independent and any number will be chosen.

Manifold Markets · Answer

Per Manifold Markets prediction market, More than 25, followed by More than 29 and More than 37 are most likely. See the market for live updates (5 traders, as of May 24, 2026).

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