Last friday a teacher was killed and two other staff members were injured as a result of a terror attack.
France has raised its alert level to urgent terrorist alert, and in recent days major tourist attractions in France have been evacuated after terror alerts.
If over 20 people die as a result of Islamic terrorism in France by close date this market resolves YES. French people dying outside of France as a result of islamic terrorism do not count for this market, but non-french people dying in France do.
I will not bet on this market.
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A story about this market: some relatives wanted to go on Christmas vacation in France, but they were afraid of terrorist attacks. This market was my attempt to convince them to go, but since they didn't understand what a prediction market was and 10% seemed too much to them they stayed at home in the end.
https://www.france24.com/en/live-news/20231203-attacker-stabs-german-tourist-to-death-in-paris
The cause behind the attack was a mix of ideology and mental health issues, but since the attacker pledged allegiance to IS and the attack is aligned with IS I believe this counts for this market.
The count is at 1.