Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2028?
Will AI wipe out humanity before the year 2028?
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1.1kṀ28k2028
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If humanity is still around on Jan 1, 2028, then this market resolves to NO. Otherwise resolves to YES.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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⚠UNRESOLVED & Re-Opened
📢Resolution Made Early Without Proof
📝I f@TeddyWeverka would like to N/A the market, that is their choice.
📝If Creator has proof, please post it.
Resolving early since the answer is obvious. Should this resolution be wrong, I will rise from my grave and payout those yes votes.
predictedYES 2y
@Thunderstar I'll sell my YES shares to the AI before it happens.
/MartinRandall/will-ai-wipe-out-humanity-before-th-d8733b2114a8
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What is this?
What is Manifold?
Manifold is the world's largest social prediction market.
Get accurate real-time odds on politics, tech, sports, and more.
Or create your own play-money betting market on any question you care about.
Are our predictions accurate?
Yes! Manifold is very well calibrated, with forecasts on average within 4 percentage points of the true probability. Our probabilities are created by users buying and selling shares of a market.
In the 2022 US midterm elections, we outperformed all other prediction market platforms and were in line with FiveThirtyEight’s performance. Many people who don't like betting still use Manifold to get reliable news.
Why use play money?
Why use play money?Mana (Ṁ) is the play-money currency used to bet on Manifold. It cannot be converted to cash. All users start with Ṁ1,000 for free.
Play money means it's much easier for anyone anywhere in the world to get started and try out forecasting without any risk. It also means there's more freedom to create and bet on any type of question.
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