Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
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Ṁ3665resolved Jan 1
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50%Yes, an extended military conflict in the Middle East, escalating into a multi-international, possibly global, conflict.
Resolved
NOYes, an extraterrestrial invasion (whether real or false).
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NOYes, a natural disaster such as a massive earthquake, an eruption of a super volcano, or others.
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NOYes, a solar flare causing a global blackout. Or a meteorite/asteroid hitting Earth and causing significant damage.
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NOYes, a new, unprecedented disease/pandemic emerging somewhere on Earth, spreading rapidly and endangering life (human, animal, or plant).
Resolved
NOYes, AI technology taking over vital systems in the global economy, causing unforeseen events like the overnight collapse of multinational corporations or even entire nations."
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@mattyb Such as an earthquake affecting multiple states. Something that could be considered an international or global crisis.
@Symmetry I imagine something of a more apocalyptic nature. The earthquake in Turkey doesn't qualify for that.
@Tamashi But it was a massive earthquake affecting multiple states. Youre criteria don't seem very coherent. It's hard to bet on this market.
@Symmetry Yes, you're right. It's not something easily measurable. It's more of an idea or a concept of a crisis or something out of the ordinary
@Tamashi I'm assuming this would have qualified:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake_and_tsunami
What about the earthquake/tsunami that led to the Fukushima incident?
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