
Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
26
1kṀ3665resolved Jan 1
Resolved
50%Yes, an extended military conflict in the Middle East, escalating into a multi-international, possibly global, conflict.
Resolved
NOYes, an extraterrestrial invasion (whether real or false).
Resolved
NOYes, a natural disaster such as a massive earthquake, an eruption of a super volcano, or others.
Resolved
NOYes, a solar flare causing a global blackout. Or a meteorite/asteroid hitting Earth and causing significant damage.
Resolved
NOYes, a new, unprecedented disease/pandemic emerging somewhere on Earth, spreading rapidly and endangering life (human, animal, or plant).
Resolved
NOYes, AI technology taking over vital systems in the global economy, causing unforeseen events like the overnight collapse of multinational corporations or even entire nations."
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
# | Name | Total profit |
---|---|---|
1 | Ṁ48 | |
2 | Ṁ33 | |
3 | Ṁ27 | |
4 | Ṁ11 | |
5 | Ṁ11 |
People are also trading
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
5% chance
Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
31% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
35% chance
Will there be a Global Cyber Pandemic or Warfare by 2030?
61% chance
Will there be a global depression in the 2020s?
12% chance
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
63% chance
Sort by:
@mattyb Such as an earthquake affecting multiple states. Something that could be considered an international or global crisis.
@Symmetry I imagine something of a more apocalyptic nature. The earthquake in Turkey doesn't qualify for that.
@Tamashi But it was a massive earthquake affecting multiple states. Youre criteria don't seem very coherent. It's hard to bet on this market.
@Symmetry Yes, you're right. It's not something easily measurable. It's more of an idea or a concept of a crisis or something out of the ordinary
@Tamashi I'm assuming this would have qualified:
https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake_and_tsunami
What about the earthquake/tsunami that led to the Fukushima incident?
People are also trading
Related questions
Will there be a massive global financial crisis, larger than any before seen in human history, before the end of 2028?
5% chance
Will there be major global lockdowns before 2031?
31% chance
Will there be another global pandemic before 2030?
35% chance
Will there be a Global Cyber Pandemic or Warfare by 2030?
61% chance
Will there be a global depression in the 2020s?
12% chance
Will the US undergo a major political crisis before 2027
55% chance
Will there be a pandemic at least as deadly as COVID-19 by March 1st 2044?
63% chance