Will there be an international or global crisis in the year 2024?
19
245
950
Dec 31
41%
Yes, an extended military conflict in the Middle East, escalating into a multi-international, possibly global, conflict.
22%
Yes, a natural disaster such as a massive earthquake, an eruption of a super volcano, or others.
16%
Yes, a new, unprecedented disease/pandemic emerging somewhere on Earth, spreading rapidly and endangering life (human, animal, or plant).
11%
Yes, AI technology taking over vital systems in the global economy, causing unforeseen events like the overnight collapse of multinational corporations or even entire nations."
7%
Yes, an extraterrestrial invasion (whether real or false).
7%
Yes, a solar flare causing a global blackout. Or a meteorite/asteroid hitting Earth and causing significant damage.

Get Ṁ200 play money
Sort by:
Yes, a natural disaster such as a massive earthquake, an eruption of a super volcano, or others.

can you define “massive” here? Is this 7.0? 8.0? 9.0?

@mattyb Such as an earthquake affecting multiple states. Something that could be considered an international or global crisis.

@Tamashi Would last years Turkey/Syria earthquakes qualify?

@Symmetry I imagine something of a more apocalyptic nature. The earthquake in Turkey doesn't qualify for that.

@Tamashi But it was a massive earthquake affecting multiple states. Youre criteria don't seem very coherent. It's hard to bet on this market.

@Symmetry Yes, you're right. It's not something easily measurable. It's more of an idea or a concept of a crisis or something out of the ordinary

bought Ṁ30 of Yes, a natural disas... NO

@Tamashi I'm assuming this would have qualified:

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/2004_Indian_Ocean_earthquake_and_tsunami

What about the earthquake/tsunami that led to the Fukushima incident?

@AlQuinn Certainly, yes in both cases.

More related questions