Resolution criteria

This market resolves to YES if, at any point on or before December 31, 2026, 11:59 PM Eastern Time, Dominick Cicale is admitted, involuntarily committed, or remanded to a psychiatric hospital, psychiatric inpatient facility, or court-ordered mental health institution.

The market resolves to NO if no such commitment or inpatient institutionalization occurs by the deadline, or if there is no credible public verification.

Details and Edge Cases:

• The resolution requires verification from credible news reporting, public court/government records, law enforcement announcements, or explicit confirmation from Cicale or his legal representation.

• Routine outpatient therapy, voluntary outpatient psychiatric visits, or temporary holding in a standard jail/prison general population unit without institutional transfer/commitment do not qualify.

• A stay in a dedicated forensic psychiatric facility (such as a state mental hospital or a Bureau of Prisons psychiatric referral center) counts toward a YES resolution.

Background

Dominick "Dom" Cicale is a former Bonanno crime family capo and convicted hitman who turned government cooperator in the 2000s, testifying against high-ranking mobsters including former acting boss Vincent "Vinny Gorgeous" Basciano.

In recent years, Cicale has maintained an active presence on YouTube and mob-focused social media podcasts. His increasingly contentious livestreams, public feuds with other online figures, and erratic online confrontations have led commentators in true-crime communities to speculate about his mental stability.

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