MANIFOLD
Will Vorcaro be in prison by end of 2026?
1
Ṁ100Ṁ100
Dec 31
20%
chance

This market resolves YES if Daniel Vorcaro is physically in prison custody at 23:59 BRT on December 31, 2026.

This includes:

  • preventive detention

  • serving a sentence in a prison facility

  • custody in a federal or state prison

This market resolves NO if, at that time, he is:

  • released

  • on bail

  • under house arrest

  • free by court order, habeas corpus, or any non-prison regime

House arrest counts as NO.
Temporary imprisonment earlier in 2026 does not count unless he is still imprisoned at year-end.

Important context:
Vorcaro’s legal situation may change during 2026 depending on appeals, habeas corpus decisions, or higher court rulings, so final resolution depends only on his exact custody status at year-end.

⚠️ If official sources conflict, the most authoritative Brazilian judicial record available at resolution time should be used.

Market context
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