In which state will there be the smallest margin of victory in the 2024 US presidential election?
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52
Ṁ21kresolved Nov 13
100%98%
Wisconsin
0.1%
Pennsylvania
0.0%
Michigan
0.6%
Georgia
0.0%
North Carolina
0.0%
Nevada
0.0%
Arizona
1.3%
Texas
0.0%
Florida
0.0%
Another state
In other words: Which state will have the closest race.
This market will resolve YES to the state with the lowest margin between top 2 candidates for President, and NO to all the other states.
The lowest margin will be decided percentagewise.
Example:
State A voted 49.7% for party X and 50.3% for party Y. The margin is 0.6%
State B voted 50.5% for party X and 49.5% for party Y. The margin is 1%
State A resolves YES and State B resolves No, regardless of the absolute vote count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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