In which state will there be the smallest margin of victory in the 2024 US presidential election?

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52

แน21kDec 31

1D

1W

1M

ALL

98%

Wisconsin

1.3%

Texas

0.6%

Georgia

0.1%

Pennsylvania

0%

Arizona

0%

Michigan

0%

Nevada

0%

Another state

0%

North Carolina

0%

Florida

In other words: Which state will have the closest race.

This market will resolve YES to the state with the lowest margin between top 2 candidates for President, and NO to all the other states.

## The lowest margin will be decided **percentagewise**.

**Example**:

State A voted 49.7% for party X and 50.3% for party Y. The margin is 0.6%

State B voted 50.5% for party X and 49.5% for party Y. The margin is 1%

State A resolves YES and State B resolves No, regardless of the absolute vote count.

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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