In what quarter will the US Treasury inverted yield curve return to normal (uninverted)?
22
1.8kṀ16kresolved Sep 30
100%96%
3Q24
0.2%
3Q23
0.3%
4Q23
0.6%
1Q24
0.4%
2Q24
1.7%
4Q24
0.5%
Later
Criteria will be based on the last day of the quarter as reported by CNBC closing US Treasury rates for the last day of the quarter.
Will be using 2 year and 10 year treasury yields.
The quarter that ends with the 10 year yield higher than the 2 year yield will be the winner.
Only the end of the quarter will be used!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ669 | |
| 2 | Ṁ474 | |
| 3 | Ṁ300 | |
| 4 | Ṁ82 | |
| 5 | Ṁ55 |
People are also trading
Related questions
10yr treasury yield hits 5.5% by EOY2025?
14% chance
Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?
When will the 10-year (US) Treasury yield reach 5 per cent?
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
87% chance
10-year US treasuries yield >10% any time before 2026
5% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2025?
72% chance
Technical default on US Treasury debt by 1/20/2029
23% chance