In what quarter will the US Treasury inverted yield curve return to normal (uninverted)? | Manifold

In what quarter will the US Treasury inverted yield curve return to normal (uninverted)?

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22

Ṁ16k

resolved Sep 30

100%96%

3Q24

0.2%

3Q23

0.3%

4Q23

0.6%

1Q24

0.4%

2Q24

1.7%

4Q24

0.5%

Later

Criteria will be based on the last day of the quarter as reported by CNBC closing US Treasury rates for the last day of the quarter.

Will be using 2 year and 10 year treasury yields.

The quarter that ends with the 10 year yield higher than the 2 year yield will be the winner.

Only the end of the quarter will be used!

This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.

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https://www.cnbc.com/2024/09/04/bond-market-yield-curve-returns-to-normal-from-inverted-state-that-had-raised-recession-fears.html?__source=androidappshare

But resolution is based on quarter end

As they close in on each other I will remind people this is based on the LAST day of the quarter!

Why is Q3 23 at 7%

10 year made a big move today...

Up 15 basis points while 2 year went up 2

5.514 to 4.49 (per seeking alpha)

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