In what quarter will the US Treasury inverted yield curve return to normal (uninverted)?
22
Ṁ1.8kṀ16kresolved Sep 30
100%96%
3Q24
0.2%
3Q23
0.3%
4Q23
0.6%
1Q24
0.4%
2Q24
1.7%
4Q24
0.5%
Later
Criteria will be based on the last day of the quarter as reported by CNBC closing US Treasury rates for the last day of the quarter.
Will be using 2 year and 10 year treasury yields.
The quarter that ends with the 10 year yield higher than the 2 year yield will be the winner.
Only the end of the quarter will be used!
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
🏅 Top traders
| # | Trader | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ669 | |
| 2 | Ṁ474 | |
| 3 | Ṁ300 | |
| 4 | Ṁ82 | |
| 5 | Ṁ55 |
People are also trading
Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
72% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
93% chance
Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
28% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
86% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
77% chance
Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?
Sort by:
People are also trading
Related questions
Will US 10-year treasury yield exceed 6 percent before 2028?
72% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 3.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
93% chance
Will the US 10-year Treasury yield close at 5.25% or higher before November 16, 2026?
28% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.0%+ on 12/31/2026?
86% chance
10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2026?
77% chance
Lowest 30 year treasury yield during 2023-2049?