10 Year Treasury Yield at 4.5%+ on 12/31/2025?
3
1kṀ300Dec 31
51%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
Using the closing price on Dec 31st, 2025 reported by CNBC here: https://www.cnbc.com/quotes/US10Y
If it is 4.5% or greater, this market resolves as YES
Otherwise it resolves to NO
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Will the 10 year treasury yield be higher on May 30, 2025 than on December 31, 2024?
67% chance
US 10Y Treasury yield above 5% by June 30, 2025?
16% chance
Will the 10 Year Treasury Yield at closing on 12/31/2025 be 4% or higher?
59% chance
10yr treasury yield hits 5.5% by EOY2025?
20% chance
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury note exceed 4.5% at any point before July 28, 2025?
52% chance
Will the U.S. 10-year Treasury yield fall below 3.5% before July 28, 2025?
31% chance
10-year US treasuries yield >10% any time before 2026
6% chance
What will be the highest treasury 10 year yield this year?
63% chance
Will 10-year treasury yields in 2032 be higher than 3.5%?
79% chance
US 10-year treasury trades above 7% before 2026
7% chance