Top LK-99 NO holders bail before Aug 25 midnight
6
135
110
resolved Aug 20
Resolved
YES

One of the top 15 current NO holders (see list below) completely sells out and is out of the main LK-99 market or is a YES holder in it any moment before Aug 25 Friday PST midnight.

The main market: /QuantumObserver/will-the-lk99-room-temp-ambient-pre

The current top fifteen NO holders this market is about:

NinthCause avatar

NinthCause Ṁ1,090,838

MarcusAbramovitch avatar

Marcus Abramovitch Ṁ581,323

jack avatar

Jack Ṁ211,791

zn avatar

zn

Ṁ209,443

StrayClimb avatar

Reynolds Ṁ156,935

MatthewBarnett avatar

Matthew Barnett Ṁ116,736

optimusprime avatar

optimusprime Ṁ108,410

MichaelWheatley avatar

Michael Wheatley Ṁ104,309

EliezerYudkowsky avatar

Eliezer Yudkowsky

Ṁ91,694

chilli avatar

chilli Ṁ86,088

PeterWildeford avatar

Peter Wildeford Ṁ84,721

MarcoGiglio avatar

Marco Giglio Ṁ83,408

SG avatar

S G Ṁ76,924

dmayhem93 avatar

dmayhem93

Ṁ62,464

Mira avatar

Mira

Ṁ56,270

If you think this has happened, please post in comments and I'll review it. If the situation has changed by the time I check, we can still reconstruct the past holdings, and we'll go by that.

If person is banned or quits or blocks me or anyone it's irrelevant. They have to sell.

If they just transfer holdings to an alt or something it doesn't count although that would require specific proof.

If they flip to YES on this market, but have hedged it by going very NO on other, related markets, it's unfortunate, but that will still count as selling out. That way at least it's easy to judge; trying to asses whether someone has truly changed heart, and has gone net YES from NO across all related markets would be too hard.

EDIT: If the main LK-99 market resolves YES before due date, then that is considered a failure for the NO holders, and this market would resolve YES, since in both situations, NO holders feel very bad.

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bought Ṁ10 of YES

@StrayClimb
I think this market should resolve yes

predicted NO

huh, wonder why

Fair play, I made this to balance out the opposite market on a YES holder giving up.

/StrayClimb/top-lk99-yes-holders-bail-before-au