Bridge built connecting mainland Italy to Sicily through 2030
25
1kṀ4358
2031
16%
chance

At least some work must have started and project must be funded and on track

Connecting each sides mainland, not islands

(Although stopovers or steps at islands are fine)

You'll be able to travel above water not flying between the countries

  • Update 2025-03-23 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): Additional Clarification:

    • The project must have no remaining required unfunded or unplanned steps at the time of resolution.

    • This means that all necessary steps must be fully funded and planned without any outstanding components.

Transit
Infrastructure
Mega-bridges
Italy
Italian affairs
Get
Ṁ1,000
to start trading!

People are also trading

Will Sicily be connected with the mainland by a bridge before 2038?
50% chance
Will a bridge across the Strait of Messina between mainland Italy and Sicily have started construction by 2030?
43% chance
Will there be a bridge open to traffic between Sicily and Italy at the end of 2029?
10% chance
Strait of Messina bridge open by 2035?
40% chance
Bridge built across the Strait of Gibraltar connecting Europe to Africa through 2040
11% chance
Bridge built connecting any major Philippine island through 2040
36% chance
Bridge built connecting Hainan to mainland China through 2040
40% chance
Bridge built connecting the Bahamas to another country through 2040
13% chance
Bridge built connecting Sri Lanka to India through 2040
41% chance
Bridge built connecting Ireland to Scotland or England through 2040
13% chance
© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms•Privacy