It's been privately speculated that the Manifold team has wound down making more prize markets until they get the go-ahead from legal to move forward with the second phase of the pivot. Is this why there are no more prize markets? Or is there just a lull in capacity on their end? Let's see if the winds shift.
This resolves based on number of prize markets that are open for trading simultaneously on August 31st (Pacific Time): if at any point that day there are 10+ open prize markets, this resolves YES, otherwise will resolve NO after.
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,399 | |
| 2 | Ṁ799 | |
| 3 | Ṁ594 | |
| 4 | Ṁ489 | |
| 5 | Ṁ450 |
the staff are Often Wrong about their milestones for the site, but they do provide excellent indicators of intent with their bets. sometimes they signal that something is happening and provide inside info, sometimes they bet to subsidize and add counterparty, sometimes they bet for aspirational/ goal reasons. but I agree it can often be dangerous to bet against them!
note that the downtime was apparently about some database maintenance/ upgrade
