Will Manifest cause any user to have a significant change in league standings?
10
210Ṁ6939resolved Oct 1
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
If Manifest-related leagues and events represent 20%+ of any user's final gains or losses in their league, this resolves YES; otherwise NO. I won't actively go looking for this, but I imagine it might cause a bit of chatter so I'll resolve after season lock-in if it's reported here or I stumble across it another way.
The user(s) in question don't have to have attended Manifest.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
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https://manifold.markets/SirSalty/who-will-destiny-debate-at-manifest?r=anVuZQ
Yudkowsky made over 1k profit in this market, more than 20% of 3k profit in the current league (assuming no big money moves are made before league close!)