When this market closes, will it be between 60 and 80%?
60
68
1.2K
resolved Apr 23
Resolved
YES

60-80% inclusive, will round based on chart!

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bought Ṁ422 of YES

My first time trying to snipe, that was scary 💀

predicted NO

@Shelvacu you got really lucky with my internet connection

predicted YES

@Shelvacu Chad move, thank you :DD

@Shelvacu I had a suspicion this would get sniped! congrats

bought Ṁ400 of NO

I glitched out. Oh well

predicted YES

@MarcusAbramovitch Oh no! What glitched out?

predicted NO

@Shelvacu i think my internet connection? I sent at 1 58 59 which didn't go through

predicted YES

@MarcusAbramovitch I assume manifold's servers get hit pretty hard at 23:59 and 00:00, a >1s response time doesn't seem that crazy at all.

bought Ṁ125 of NO

This market is like a standard symmetrical self-resolving market, except harder to resolve YES! Clearly NO is easier here.

bought Ṁ0 of NO

@Conflux (and also you get less profit out of betting YES since you have to stop at 80, whereas NO whales can go all the way down to 0)

predicted YES

@Conflux hmmmm id think its easier to bet YES since most of the struggles will be around the 40 boundary, where YES bettors receive better profit margins. tho ig there is always the risk that a NO whale suddenly sells and shoves the market above 80, but that means giving up profit. overall if the yes whale is committed enough there's nothing a few big limit orders cant fill.

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