
When this market closes, will it be between 60 and 80%?
60
1.2kṀ15kresolved Apr 23
Resolved
YES1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
60-80% inclusive, will round based on chart!
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@MarcusAbramovitch I assume manifold's servers get hit pretty hard at 23:59 and 00:00, a >1s response time doesn't seem that crazy at all.
@Conflux (and also you get less profit out of betting YES since you have to stop at 80, whereas NO whales can go all the way down to 0)
@Conflux hmmmm id think its easier to bet YES since most of the struggles will be around the 40 boundary, where YES bettors receive better profit margins. tho ig there is always the risk that a NO whale suddenly sells and shoves the market above 80, but that means giving up profit. overall if the yes whale is committed enough there's nothing a few big limit orders cant fill.