What will happen with the recent lawsuits by major record labels against AI music startups?
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Plus
8
Ṁ1125
2026
72%
Udio or Suno will shutdown services temporarily
36%
Udio or Suno will shutdown services permanently
80%
A lawsuit reaches a settlement
46%
A lawsuit reaches trial
63%
A lawsuit reaches judgment
28%
A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the defendant
37%
A lawsuit reaches judgment in favor of the plaintiff
31%
A lawsuit is dismissed
73%
Training data is leaked or disclosed publicly by the court
31%
A lawsuit expands to include Microsoft as a defendant
69%
Microsoft drops its partnership with Suno
20%
A Billboard Top-100 Artist testifies at trial

Some labels, including Sony, Universal, and Warner, have started lawsuits against Udio and Suno.

Here's the RIAA press release. It looks like they're managing the lawsuits for the plaintiffs.

All outcomes that happen resolve YES. Any outcomes that don't happen by the end of these lawsuits will resolve NO. We'll have to keep an eye on when that might be.

Notes (may add more here as clarifications are needed):

  • "Billboard Top-100 Artist" or "Billboard 100 Artist" is any musician presently on Billboard's list of top 100 musicians, whatever it's called at the time, at the time of trial

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