Let's play a variation on poker! Like all the decent games of poker, this will be a lot about leveraging luck with strategy and mind games; a perfect match for a place about predictions imo.

THE TURN

King of Spades, Ten of Diamonds, Three of Spades, + Eight of Clubs

We're playing a variation based on Texas Hold 'Em specially designed for working on Manifold over a series of markets, but everyone can participate and bet even if they're not given a hand. If y'all love it, we'll do more hands. Here's how it works:

1. We had a buy-in market where the hand's players were chosen. Here's who remains!

2. Players are welcome to share their hands, or bluff, obfuscate, and misdirect, whether on the markets, over discord, or wherever they see fit. They're also welcome to bet on their opponents! (Such bets have no bearing on if their hand continues)

3. The 2 players in this round who have the highest YES positions (minimum 20) on themselves at close advance to the next round. Everyone else is considered "folded". This market will only resolve at the end of the game to the final winner, whenever that is determined.

4. If for whatever reason every player folds at any stage, the win goes to the player who held the highest YES self-position on the previous round.

5. And as a bonus for this first trial run, I'm awarding 100 mana to the winner. Congrats to them!

As I know all of the cards, I won't be betting or playing, and I cannot be bribed to reveal other players' information or tilt in your favor. My house cut is simply the (hopefully ample) trader bonuses on any markets I make for this, though I'll accept tips for my role as dealer if you're so inclined.

Of course, side markets are welcome. Feel free to add them to the Manifold Plays Poker group for visibility.