The "Championship Belt" concept comes from boxing/wresting and is the idea that every season, the previous years champion (here the Super Bowl) starts with the belt, and each time they lose they pass the belt to the winning team who becomes the new sole owner.
The concept is explained here:
https://grantland.com/the-triangle/introducing-the-nba-regular-season-championship-belt/
The Pittsburgh Steelers currently hold the championship belt.
Week 0: Chiefs
Week 1: Lions beat Chiefs
Week 2: Seahawks beat Lions
Week 3: Seahawks beat Panthers
Week 4: Seahawks beat Giants
Week 5: Seahawks Bye
Week 6: Seahawks at Bengals
Week 7: Bengals Bye
Week 8: Bengals at 49ers
Week 9: Bills at Bengals
Week 10: Texans at Bengals
Week 11: Cardinals at Texans
Week 12: Jaguars at Texans
Week 13: Bengals at Jaguars
Week 14: Colts at Bengals
Week 15: Vikings at Bengals
Week 16: Bengals at Steelers
Week 17: Seahawks at Steelers
Week 18: Steelers at Ravens
This market closes at the conclusion of the regular season, resolving simply with the team who holds the belt after Week 18. I'll update each week with the current owner of the belt. As a fun edge case, a tie would resolve in a division into two different belts (and could resolve for multiple teams).
Old market with fixed answers:
1,000
3.00Thanks @SirCryptomind for keeping the market updated! The Steelers finish the season with the championship belt after taking it from the Seahawks and finishing the season 3-0!
@JoshuaWilkes nvm, I'm not 100% sure, put it in Discord and ask maybe.
I know YES on OTHER = YES for New Submissions
@JoshuaWilkes I remember why now: because NO can resolve to many answers but YES can only resolve to one. You can't let people dump a load of NO into Other and then split off lots of clearly impossible answers.
Presumably the way the maths works is that the NO that should have gone into the Chargers from Other was what was distributed around all other answers, but this is quite silly given that I'd deliberately established NO positions separately in many of them.
Maybe this is the only way to do this, but maybe not?
@JoshuaWilkes You're basically correct:
When you originally bought No in Other, that is exactly equivalent to buying Yes in every non-Other answer. Now that Other is being split, this "identity" is used to shift your shares around appropriately.
Updated With Week 15 Win By Bengals.
Should be near 100% accurate.
Bengals hold onto the Belt. With 5 (or 6 not sure if we are considering the bye) Weeks holding the belt they have clinched the "holding the belt for the longest time award" (Seahawks could get it back for 2 more weeks, but I think only via the Steelers, which requires the Bengals hold onto the belt for another week). Unfortunately that award doesn't mean anything (maybe next year!), as Week 18 is all that matters!
They stay home to face the Vikings at 1pm EST today!
@StopPunting Every team left is on the Market are on their, except the Commanders.
The Chargers & Bears I forgot to add to the chart.
All 3 could win it, but it would be the final game of the season.
The Bengals have the easiest path of all teams.
If Seattle can get it Week 17, the Cardinals have a chance Week 18.
Those final games of the season are for the 3 excluded on the chart I made:
Bears V Packers
Cowboys V Commanders
Chiefs V Chargers
After this weekend, things will be MUCH MUCH clearer. If Bengals keep it against the Vikings today and lose it to the Steelers next weekend, that only leaves Seahawks, Ravens, Cardinals.
@SirCryptomind Thanks for doing that work haha. I was gonna try to look at all the branching paths a couple weeks ago just out of curiosity (I had seen a team getting bought up that I saw couldn't get it).
Bird name sounds pretty fun, feel free to make it if you want! I think it might be a pretty low percentage? Plus might be resolved by Week 18. I've been trying to keep up with some of my other markets, so probably won't end up making it myself haha.
All I want to say is this is a great market idea. Keep 'em coming.
I'm continually surprised these don't have 10x the traffic they do.
@Eliza Its a little niche + the rules for some of my markets are tough to explain haha. I think this one also has a lot of randomness, so there probably isn't that much profit to be made until around about now, where the branches are much more limited!
Even without the most traffic I enjoy making them and it looks like some people are definitely engaging with them. Don't have many IRL friends who like the NFL (or especially the NFL strategy part that I love) enough to take interest at a level I do, so it's a good outlet to be able to engage in it.