A GOP Presidential debate will be held on August 23, 2023.
This market resolves to YES if businessman Vivek Ramaswamy wins the debate, according to CNN.com. Otherwise, it resolves to NO.
The most prominently featured article about the debate, linked from the homepage and posted the day after its conclusion, will be used as reference. "Live updates" about the debate are excluded. If the article covers "5 winners and 5 losers" or something similar, then Ramaswamy must be listed first (or last, if the order is counting down) in the list of winners. As long as he is referred to as the sole or the most prominent winner, the reason is irrelevant, even if all he did was meet expectations and even if he didn't attend.
If CNN does not post any articles about the debate before August 31, 2023 at 11:59:59pm EDT, if none of the articles about the debate offer an opinion as to who won or lost, or if the debate is cancelled, then the market resolves to N/A.
RESOLUTION: A search of CNN.com was conducted and there were no articles that stated that Ramaswamy won the debate at any position. One opinion piece including a number of commenters had the first commenter state that Haley won the debate. A second piece grading the debate suggested that Haley won the debate and that Ramaswamy lost.
Some comments included links to X, to videos of CNN television broadcasts, links to articles on other sites, and polls conducted of voters. None of these were considered because those sources were not in the resolution criteria.
Because Haley was clearly the consensus winner from the CNN commenters, this market resolves to NO.
Keep the conversation going at https://manifold.markets/SteveSokolowski/will-vivek-ramaswamy-win-the-septem !
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