The 13th annual League of Legends World Championship will be held from October 9, 2023 to November 19, 2023.
This market will resolve to the winner of the tournament. Eliminated teams will resolve to NO. If the tournament is not completed by December 31, 2023, then all of the remaining answers will resolve to N/A.
The "Other" answer is provided in case one of the currently qualified teams withdrawals and is replaced.
PROP BETS ON THIS TOURNAMENT:
1,000🏅 Top traders
| # | Name | Total profit |
|---|---|---|
| 1 | Ṁ2,342 | |
| 2 | Ṁ877 | |
| 3 | Ṁ577 | |
| 4 | Ṁ386 | |
| 5 | Ṁ352 |
People are also trading
These finals were perhaps the worst Worlds series ever played. It was a complete blowout - at no point was this even close; Weibo only scored 10 kills to about 50 on T1. It wasn't just the worst Worlds finals, but it's up there with any series at all.
Weibo just lost all three games in champion select. Perhaps people will recognize by now that Senna doesn't work as ADC?
Score bet about the final:
https://manifold.markets/MarisaKirisame/the-score-of-s13-lol-world-champion
New prop bet about the finals (this post will be edited tomorrow for more bets):
See my new markets and the other markets about finals in my curated dashboard about the finals: https://manifold.markets/dashboard/league-of-legends-worlds
@ScipioFabius Not a stupid question at all!
If there’s a + in front of the number, 100/(x+100)
If there’s a - in front of the number, x/(x+100)
@BDStraw Wow, I wish there was a way to contact the Manifold administrators to point this out. The real-money betting markets were ridiculously far off on this topic. Manifold had JDG far lower than these incorrect odds, and Weibo was up to 20% even before the match started.
It's also interesting to note that the odds right now here are almost exactly the same as last year; T1 was about 2 in 3 against DRX going into the finals then too.
@SteveSokolowski You can certainly contact them! One way is tagging Manifold people here directly, other is posting this in Manifold Discord.
Nobody is betting on the prop bets, which is a shame. I think the pentakill one, at least, is interesting to find out the true odds:
/SteveSokolowski/will-a-pentakill-occur-in-the-semif
/SteveSokolowski/will-xayah-make-an-appearance-in-th
and I edited this comment to add a new market:
https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=EgMvLGf8sJY&t=1144s
According to the YouTube video which gives the analysis data include each individual's strengths and weakness. With the data in the video, you can tell that in the quarterfinals' teams, every players are good at different areas, and some of the areas dont even effect the game while some of the areas effects the games direction. Due to the fact that T1's players have such a good result in the data sets, and also in the quarterfinals, T1 beats the LNG easily by using strange ban pick with a winning of 3:0. You can tell that if the LPL teams have all the same ban pick thoughts, T1 will easily beat JDG which is the strongest team in LPL since JDG's ban pick train of thought is similar to LNG, and if T1 beats JDG, then there will be a high chance for T1 to also win BLG or WBG for the championship since these two teams are not better than JDG.
@Jamie6a43 Your analysis is very well-detailed. I could agree with everything regarding the data used in relation to each team's performance, but we have to take into consideration the teams' mentality. Many teams exhibit outstanding performances in domestic scenarios and then, when they go international, they behave like amateurs, and vice versa. T1 is a contrary example, proving to be the strongest internationally among Korean teams but not necessarily the best domestically. I believe that other Asian teams might show better results, especially given the international setting. Judging by the outcomes of the recent games, I believe Bilibili will be the world champion, but the only certainty I have is that their final match will be against T1.
In single-elimination playoff formats, there is usually a team that turns out to be better than expected, and the oddsmakers then consistently underestimate that as a fluke for the rest of the tournament. When an underdog wins a game, it doesn't mean that they were "lucky," it means that they played well and the odds should be reevaluated. For example: DRX last year, the women's cycling race in the 2020 Summer Olympics, the Philadelphia Eagles in 2017-2018, and lowest-seeded Ohio State in 2014.
Bilibili played well, and they are the team right now that is being written off as not being "as good as" the pre-tournament favorites. When the tournament begins, the odds should be reevaluated based on current play and that doesn't happen with most tournaments.