Will the 2023 League of Legends World Championship be decided on the final play of the fifth game?
9
121
170
resolved Nov 19
Resolved
NO

Most League of Legends world finals tend to be decided in either a close 3-2 series, or a blowout 3-game series, with only two of the last decade's final series falling in the middle. In 2022, the League of Legends world final was decided in a winner-take all incredibly close fifth game where the championship was determined on the last play. A similar event happened in 2016, where a chance lucky Ashe arrow allowed a pick that won the tournament.

This market will resolve to YES if the championship is decided by a single play in the fifth game of the world final. To qualify as the decisive play, both teams must have at least a 33% win probability, the pivotal act or mistake must conclude in less than 30 seconds, and the game must end within 3 minutes of the act or mistake.

The market will resolve to N/A if the tournament is not played to completion, and to NO if the fifth game is not played or if the fifth game is a slow buildup to a commanding lead.

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RESOLUTION: This final was one of the worst blowouts in any League of Legends tournament, not just a final. The market has the most obvious resolution in Manifold's history: NO.