
[July 2024] - Has weak AGI been achieved?
36
resolved Jul 31
No
Yes
No opinion
On or before July 23, 2024, had weak artificial general intelligence (AGI) been achieved?
This poll is one of a series of monthly polls tracking public opinion of AI progress. The definition of "artificial general intelligence" is not provided, and which software system(s) achieved it is up to the respondent to define. However, a "weak" AGI system is not required to be able to manipulate the physical world.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Market context
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
By when will we have AGI?
Will we get AGI before 2046?
81% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2031?
59% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2029?
25% chance
Will we get AGI before 2044?
78% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2030?
35% chance
Will we get AGI before July 1st 2027?
7% chance
Will we get AGI before 2047?
83% chance
Will we get AGI before 2043?
77% chance
In what year will we achieve AGI?