On or before December 23, 2024, had weak artificial general intelligence (AGI) been achieved?
This poll is one of a series of monthly polls tracking public opinion of AI progress. The definition of "artificial general intelligence" is not provided, and which software system(s) achieved it is up to the respondent to define. However, a "weak" AGI system is not required to be able to manipulate the physical world.
MANIFOLD PROGRESS POLLS SERIES:
1,000@KimberlyWilberLIgt To this, I would answer: even if it's true, so what? What human could look at all the answers for that test and then later recall all of them?
But even so, o1 pro has passed so far beyond human level that I voted YES for the first time on the superintelligence question. o3 isn't even relevant for AGI. The idea that a non-lawyer can file an insanely complex case using mostly AI models was unfathomable a year ago, and yet I'm about to do that next week.