In July 2023, David Grusch testified that witnesses had told him that the US government recovered craft of non-human origin, and that special access programs exist to research these craft. He claimed that white collar crime was involved in these programs.

One possible outcome to the Congressional investigation is that an 85-year coverup has existed to steal taxpayer funds to pay defense contractors and government officials for unauthorized or fake work unrelated to aliens or UFOs, and that this conspiracy uses these topics to discredit people from investigating who is actually receiving the money.

This market resolves to YES if, by December 31, 2025 at 11:59:59pm EST, all three of the following are apparent from official US government sources:

1. Crimes have been committed to misallocate or steal taxpayer dollars by using "aliens" in some way as an excuse or diversion for those crimes

2. The scale of the conspiracy is one of the largest in the history of the world - defined as exceeding the value of the FTX/Alameda Research/associated companies' bankruptcy estate in nominal dollars

3. The government does not confirm the existence of non-human intelligence

Otherwise, it resolves to NO.

At least one indictment would be sufficient to satisfy #1. #2 requires a document that suggests the losses incurred, such as a Congressional report that estimates the scale of the fraud (or, the indictment itself may include this figure.) The status quo is sufficient for #3.