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MANIFOLD
Without SNAP, Organized Retail Crime (ORC) or a systemic shoplifting spree in multiple states in November?
6
Ṁ135Ṁ392
resolved Aug 20
Resolved
N/A

According to reliable news sources. Hundreds of criminals getting away with hundreds of dollars each. Like every day in CA, across the USA.

  • Update 2025-10-30 (PST) (AI summary of creator comment): This market will resolve based on news reports of organized retail crime, not actual crime statistics or scientific data. Resolution depends on how many states report such incidents in the news during November - more than a few states reporting resolves YES.

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resolves @mods ? inactive creator

@strutheo inactive creator and kinda nonsensical question will just NA

@Ziddletwix The question isn't nonsensical. They were positing a common racist notion, that without SNAP, Black people in particular would turn to massive crime. & so they were trying to predict whether their racism would come true—it didn't, so this should resolve "No."

Do you mean crime rates or just stories about crime? "like every day in CA" implies just sensational news stories since CA has below average retail crime.

https://capitaloneshopping.com/research/shoplifting-statistics/#ca

@BenM Sure per Capita. Per state it is by far the biggest. How many other states allow $1000 without penalty?

@SteveBright the question is about the actual rate of offenses not the laws, right?

@BenM It's about the rate, or total number. IN THE NEWS. Not actual science or statistics. The question is how many states report this? More than a few resolves Yes.