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Just to close this loop: "NYC's Central Park records 1 inch of snowfall for the first time in nearly 2 years"

https://gothamist.com/news/nycs-central-park-records-1-inch-of-snowfall-for-the-first-time-in-nearly-2-years

I'm calling it. It was in the 50s today. 30 years ago that was an anomaly. Now you can buy a shirt that says, "It Used to Snow Here."

@StephenSPower Resolves NO

Will any North American city have a white Christmas?

Does any snow precipitation count, or only the NOAA definition of "White Christmas"?

@lxgr Flurries count. Freezing rain does not.

Why does this market close today?

@kalassak because it was one of my first bets and i didn't know better to change the date to 12/24. which i'll do now.

https://manifold.markets/DanielRohrer/will-there-be-a-white-christmas-in?r=RGFuaWVsUm9ocmVy

Will there be a White Christmas in more than 30% of the United States on 12/25/23?

40% chance. For reference, here are the last 6 years of data, over which the average is 34.4%: 2022: 53% White Christmas 2021: 26.6% 2020: 26.5% 2019: 28.1% 2018: 24.6% 2017: 49% This will be determined by the results on NOAA's website: https://www.nohrsc.noaa.gov/nsa/