How many approved therapies will the FDA's cell & gene therapy list at the end of 2023?
4
36
resolved Jan 2
0.0%
[0, 25)
97%
[25, 35)
2%
[35, 45)
0.0%
[45, 55)
0.0%
[55, 65)
0.0%
[65, 75)
0.0%
[65, 75)
0.0%
[75, ∞)
The FDA currently maintains a page tracking approved cell & gene therapy (https://www.fda.gov/vaccines-blood-biologics/cellular-gene-therapy-products/approved-cellular-and-gene-therapy-products) that they seem to update relatively frequently. This question will resolve on 01/01/2024 to the number of therapies listed on this page as of that date. If the page hasn't been updated in more than 4 months or has since been deleted, the question will resolve N/A. May 7, 12:15pm: As of today, this page (archived version: https://archive.ph/7RAug) lists 25 approved therapies. May 7, 12:17pm: I've created a set of ranges. NOTE THAT I WILL ONLY PICK AN ANSWER FROM THE PRE-SPECIFIED RANGES. May 7, 12:22pm: According to this article (https://archive.ph/GICI8), there are currently 39 gene therapies and 43 cell therapies in Phase III trials (so some shot of appearing on the page before end of 2023 depending on trial length).
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This would be ~1/8th or fewer of current Phase III clinical trials resulting in a licensed therapeutic, which seems more likely than the other options given the timeline.