Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2028
11
170Ṁ1642028
49%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
This will resolve based on mainstream media reports. Any kind of dementia counts. Outside speculation does not count, unless the evidence is so strong that mainstream media consensus emerges.
I do not bet on my markets.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get 
1,000 to start trading!
1,000People are also trading
Related questions
Trump is clearly in the middle stage of Alzheimer's. In which year will he "step back from public appearances"?
Will Donald Trump be alive In November 2028?
77% chance
Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2026
16% chance
Credible evidence Donald Trump has dementia emerges by 2030
63% chance
Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2026
41% chance
Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2028
46% chance
Will Donald Trump be the Republican nominee for president in 2028?
9% chance
Credible evidence Joe Biden has dementia emerges by 2030
54% chance
Will Trump be diagnozed with Alzheimers disease by 2028?
25% chance
Is Donald Trump already suffering the effects of dementia?
9% chance