Will Europe be competitive in the LLM race compared to OpenAI or Google at the end of 2024?
➕
Plus
80
Ṁ10k
Jan 1
6%
chance

Resolves YES if a European model surpasses the top models of any of the two companies on the Lmsys Arena Leaderboard on the day of Dec 31, 2024.

Retrieval/search/agents-augmented does not count. (So Bard will be excluded)

#AI
#Technical AI Timelines
#OpenAI
#Europe
Get
Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
Sort by:
bought Ṁ10 YES

Buying YES for Mistral.

bought Ṁ10 YES

Deepmind made Google Gemini. Deepmind is in London.

Also, Mistral is French.

@GordanKnott Deepmind is integrated with Google Brain. I have to make it clear: whatever Google Deepmind makes does not count as Europe.

@Sss19971997 even though it's made in Europe by Europeans. 👍

@GordanKnott https://arxiv.org/abs/2312.11805

most of the authors of the Gemini paper are based in the US.

@FedorShabashev Did you actually count the ~1000 authors?

@ArielKwiatkowski I randomly sampled

Related questions

© Manifold Markets, Inc.•Terms + Mana-only Terms•Privacy•Rules