Will a Chinese company/organization recreate Sora by the end of 2024?
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21
Ṁ2079
Jan 1
88%
chance

It resolves YES if they get something as good as Sora.

Since we do not yet have a good benchmark for judging, we will resolve to public opinions, like a poll on manifolds.

Note: the company/organization, not the location, judges the nationality. For example, if Huawei Tel Aviv lab makes something good, it will resolve this question to YES. In comparison, if MSRA makes something, it does not count.

#AI
#🇨🇳 China
#OpenAI Sora
#AI Video Generation
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Ṁ1,000
and
S3.00
4 Comments
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I assume most people would not consider Kling from kuaishou to be "as good as" Sora, but it is very close.

it can generate up to 120 seconds, which is more than what Sora could do.

@traders You know what, the margin is small enough that I think I need to do a poll on manifolds. I will consider resolving YES if the poll is statistically significant (p-value < 0.05), but not guarantee.

@Sss19971997

Since not enough people voted, I will not resolve the market now. I believe that there will be a future opportunity were resolution of the market is clear

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