
Will a Chinese company/organization recreate Sora by the end of 2024?
24
1kṀ3559Jan 1
62%
chance
1H
6H
1D
1W
1M
ALL
It resolves YES if they get something as good as Sora.
Since we do not yet have a good benchmark for judging, we will resolve to public opinions, like a poll on manifolds.
Note: the company/organization, not the location, judges the nationality. For example, if Huawei Tel Aviv lab makes something good, it will resolve this question to YES. In comparison, if MSRA makes something, it does not count.
This question is managed and resolved by Manifold.
Get
1,000 to start trading!
People are also trading
Related questions
What will happen to Sora OpenAi by the end of 2025?
What will be true of OpenAI's Sora* model, at the end of 2025? [*see description]
Will someone make a video generator < 3B parameters as good as Sora by EOY 2025?
35% chance
Will OpenAI create a game-playing AI that uses Sora?
25% chance
Will miHoYo (Genshin Impact) become a publicly traded company or be acquired by the end of 2027?
59% chance
Will China's SMIC manage to manufacture semiconductors that will outcompete Taiwan's TSMC by the end of 2028?
15% chance