Will the current Israel conflict end with an agreement organized/led by Middle Eastern states?
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The market will resolve when the current conflict between Israel and Hamas ends and remains stable for at least 7 days without indication of re-igniting. The market resolves YES if any agreement (cease-fire, peace treaty, surrender terms, etc) which plays a major role in ending the conflict is led or organized by a country in the Middle East region (excluding Israel, as defined by Wikipedia). If many countries are involved, middle eastern countries must have weak majority and a country with leading international credit for the agreement must be middle eastern to resolve YES.
The market resolves NO if the war ends, with 7 days of stability, in any other way.
As reported by a concensus international news. I will not bet in this market.
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